overview for dronpes
So I keep seeing cover silicone iphone 6s this thrown around as a bit of a custodia cover huawei y5 2019 magic pill, but let’s take a look at what this would mean in practice in the context of how battles actually happen in the Arena and who we frequently battle with.
For a cover iphone 6 anguria true zero sum system to work here would require the fluidity to be paired with a great number of competitors depending on your position something the Arena does not have the luxury to facilitate (historically).
As an example, say there are 100 competitors in this zero sum Elo system. If the 40th (weaker) player plays the 30th (stronger) player and loses (as expected), the first time the the 40th player loses rank and the 30th gains rank. Now, what about the second time they play because they’re in an Ultra group together or a local community together. And what about the next cover iphone 6 natale 6 months where they play each custodia cover huawei p20 pro other Does the system stop awarding rank gains/losses eventually Surely it must or eventually the 40th would descend below 40 and the 30th would keep climbing artificially high based simply on how many times they play. So, if it ceases to meaningfully impact their relative positions at any point, what would be the benefit of the 30th ranked competitor playing the 40th ranked competitor again In most implementations, they would only stand to lose, and hence should choose to sit on cover iphone 6 in legno their rank instead. (Which is actually a whole separate issue with a zero sum Elo implementation in this context, but I don’t want to dive into the many well known issues with Elo rating islands, inflation/deflation, incentivized rank squatting, etc).
The matchmaking system should not pair folks who’ve already played in this scenario. But that is not a luxury we’ve had historically. Perhaps in a remote enabled world however.
I think you may have missed my concern:
it introduces a way to retroactively bias the data
Your last comment here is not describing data “bias” it describing custodia apple iphone 7 rossa accuracy. Both are important, and you are correct that, all things equal, more custodia antiurto iphone 4s datapoints == more accurate average. cover iphone medicine But that only holds true if the each data custodia ricaricabile iphone 5s point outcome is blindly pulled. By giving competitors control over how many saggiamente custodia iphone 6s times to roll the dice after they know the value of the previous rolls, they now have undue influence over their resulting and can choose to “quit while they ahead” or keep rolling if they not happy yet.
In a vacuum, more data = better. But once you allow hindsight to influence how many samples you will collect, it is no longer unbiased data. These are skill based competitive matchups. A sport. The Olympic Committee does not give you a medal custodia iphone 6s originale apple for your record back home, nor are Olympic athletes given re do to increase their average scores if they do poorly in their event. The 10x Cup is the event you should practice, study, and train for each month. You know which of your matches you will weight that the time amazon iphone 5c cover competitors should be giving their very best. Folks saying they “gambled” on a Cup and “picked the wrong one” are a bit guilty of using verbiage that shifts responsibility away but they forgetting that they selected which matches were the important ones for them, and it was their challenge and opportunity to prepare, give their best, and conquer in those important matches, when they turned the spotlight on themselves and hit go.
Tbh, that essentially leaves the “picking a 10x is gambling” problem but then makes a competitor repeat the gamble if they start the month poorly custodia cover samsung s10e until they manage to inflate their gains and can stop rolling the dice.
It brings the gambling element far more to the forefront, having to re gamble custodia samsung gt n8000 with each tournament. But perhaps worse than that, it introduces a way to retroactively bias the data. Yes, it still a gamble each time, but you now given control over how many times to keep rolling the dice until (ideally) you won a satisfactory custodia per samsung j6+ amount of times. If the system “worked” and gave you a chance to redeem a bad tournament or two, . what does that mean Everyone can recover/save/inflate their gains Now the player performance reliability comparisons are less meaningful.
On first blush, I have concerns that this idea would feel quite stressful in practice, and would introduce new bias into the player performance data.
I appreciate your thoughts. And thanks for the kind words!
Yes, declaring theof tournaments you be competing in before competing in any would give you an unbiased way to average your performance across them, but you also aptly called out the drawback to that approach: what about when life happens custodia cover samsung a40 and you miss that third tournament you RSVPd for. The Arena would not be able to service emails asking for cover iphone ebay special exceptions, as there would be a huge flood each month, impossible to verify, and we see many folks who aced their first 2 tournaments reaching out to try cover iphone trasparente con disegni and quit while they ahead.
Ideally, changes to the algorithm should minimize or avoid requiring competitors to have Future Sight as much as possible but your head is in the right place as you look for ways to increase the volume of unbiased datapoints, imo!
How can we talk on one hand about making sure this is fair for people who only do one tournament per month and then on the other hand say we need to make a system that ensures people do multiple tournaments per month
Because that is not the issue. Yes, more datapoints can bring greater ranking accuracy but not if you get to full on decide to “keep your winnings” or “keep rolling the dice” with full knowledge of your performance thus far in the custodia cover huawei p8 month and or adjust past datapoints in any way with knowledge of prior outcomes. At that point the rankings become compromised.
The aim is not to make an algorithm in which everyone can “correct” their score by piling on additional wins if you biff it at the start of the month.
What do the rankings even mean when half the folks quit while ahead after nailing their first 10x, and then the other half “fixed” their score by playing catch up tournaments until their average went up. At that point, the Arena might as well just hand cover iphone se silicone out 100 Schrute Bucks to everyone for participating every month. 
..
